NYC subway: The long, slow climb back to normal
After six years of recovery, have we settled into a permanent "new normal"?
In March of 2020, NYC effectively shut down. Schools, restaurants, Broadway and offices. The city came back to life in fits and starts. Restaurants moved to sidewalks while residents sought out every patch of green space. But remote work settled in, crushing midtown and downtown businesses. Theaters would not reopen until September 2021 before battling another Covid surge in the winter of ’21-’22. It has been a long climb back.
The long climb back
Six years out, a “new normal” is clear. The city feels alive. But while commercial office vacancies have dropped and housing demand risen to pre-pandemic levels, compared to 2019, New Yorkers are still riding the subway less. Material shifts show up in the Fall of 2024 and again in January 2025 with the introduction of congestion pricing. But headwinds remain: an embrace of remote work over crushing commutes has capped weekday traffic at about 75-78% of 2019 levels. A rise in subway crime — both real and amplified by media — might still be a drag. Changes in entertainment habits mean fewer trips in for a night out. And millions of trips have shifted to bikes. CitiBike rides in NYC were up 115% by 2024 over 2019.
By 2025, weekend subway traffic had returned to nearly 90% of pre-pandemic norms. Cars are packed; it feels very “normal.”
The weekday/weekend split
Seasonal and daily differences reveal a more nuanced picture.
Fall: New surges and holiday outings
Starting the period from Labor Day through the holidays makes sense. Each September has seen companies pushing for a return to office as kids return to school. October and November have seen most of the heaviest single traffic days since 2019, with schools in session, the arts calendar in full effect, office parties returning and the holiday sights drawing people into the city. 2024 marked the most notable bump, with Mondays, Thursdays and Fridays showing more of a bump.
January to Memorial Day: The school and work grind
2025 showed a carryover from the Fall 2024 bump, a change that was boosted by the introduction of Congestion Pricing in January. Momentum has carried into 2026, with only Monday seeing a slight flattening, the likely result of two big storms that hit on Sunday nights.
Summer: Remote long weekends reign
Summer is when weekday ridership predictably bottoms out. Vacations and remote work stack on top of each other, and workers clearly have more leeway to stretch their weekends; even in 2025 summer Mondays sat at just 68% of 2019 traffic, compared to 75% in the first part of the year.
Method notes
Daily ridership comes from the MTA’s open data. Every figure compares a day to its pre-pandemic, same-week, same-weekday norm, so seasonality is already factored out. The timeline is a 30-day rolling average, sampled weekly through early June 2026.